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Alfred spent much of his time。 There were telephones upon his desk； a tape machine； and a private instrument connected with the telegraph department。 There was a desk for his secretary； now vacant； and beyond； in the shadows of the apartment； winged bookcases which held a collection of editions de luxe； first editions； and a great collection of German and Russian literature； admittedly unique。 Sir Alfred was sitting at his desk； writing a letter。 He greeted his nephew with his usual cheerful nod。
〃Wait before you go； Harrison；〃 he said to his valet。 〃Will you take anything； Ronald？ There are cigars and cigarettes here but nothing to drink。 Harrison； you can put the whiskey and soda on the side； anyhow； then you can wait for me in my room。 I shall not require any other service to…night。 Some one must stay to let Captain Granet out。 You understand？〃
〃Perfectly； sir；〃 the man replied。
〃If you don't mind； Ronnie； I will finish this letter while he brings the whiskey and soda；〃 Sir Alfred said。
Captain Granet strolled around the room。 There was no sound for a moment but the scratching of Sir Alfred's quill pen across the paper。 Presently Harrison returned with the whiskey and soda。 Sir Alfred handed him a note。
〃To be sent to…night； Harrison；〃 he directed； 〃no answer。〃
The man withdrew； closing the door behind him。 Sir Alfred； with his hands in his pockets； walked slowly around。 When he came back he turned out all the lights except the heavily shaded one over his desk； and motioned his nephew to draw his easy…chair up to the side。
〃Well； Ronnie；〃 he said； 〃I suppose you are wondering why I have sent for you at this hour of the night？〃
〃I am；〃 Granet admitted frankly。 〃Is there any news？anything behind the news； perhaps I should say？〃
〃What there is； is of no account；〃 Sir Alfred replied。 〃We are going to talk pure human nature； you and I for the next hour。 The fate of empires is a matter for the historians。 It is your fate and mine which just now counts for most。〃
〃There is some trouble？〃 Granet asked quickly；〃some suspicion？〃
〃None whatever；〃 Sir Alfred repeated firmly。 〃My position was never more secure than it is at this second。 I am the trusted confidant of the Cabinet。 I have done； not only apparently but actually； very important work for them。 Financially； too； my influence as well as my resources have been of vast assistance to this country。〃
Granet nodded and waited。 He knew enough of his uncle to be aware that he would develop his statement in his own way。
〃When all has gone well；〃 Sir Alfred continued； 〃when all seems absolutely peaceful and safe； it is sometimes the time to pause and consider。 We are at that spot at the present moment。 You have been lucky； in your way； Ronnie。 Three times； whilst fighting for England； you have managed to penetrate the German lines and receive from them communications of the greatest importance。 Since your return home you have been of use in various ways。 This last business in Norfolk will not be forgotten。 Then take my case。 What Germany knows of our financial position； our strength and our weakness； is due to me。 That Germany is at the present time holding forty millions of money belonging to the city of London； is also owing to me。 In a dozen other ways my influence has been felt。 As I told you before； we have both； in our way； been successful； but we have reached the absolute limit of our effectiveness。〃
〃What does that mean？〃 Granet asked。
〃It means this；〃 Sir Alfred explained。 〃When this war was started； I； with every fact and circumstance before me； with more information； perhaps； than any other man breathing； predicted peace within three months。 I was wrong。 Germany to…day is great and unconquered； but Germany has lost her opportunity。 This may be a war of attrition； or even now the unexpected may come； but to all effects and purposes Germany is beaten。〃
〃Do you mean this？〃 Granet exclaimed incredulously。
〃Absolutely；〃 his uncle assured him。 〃Remember that I know more than you do。 There is a new and imminent danger facing the dual alliance。 What it is you will learn soon enough。 The war may drag on for many months but the chances of the great German triumph we have dreamed of； have passed。 They know it as well as we do。 I have seen the writing on the wall for months。 To…day I have concluded all my arrangements。 I have broken off all negotiations with Berlin。 They recognise the authority and they absolve me。 They know that it will be well to have a friend here when the time comes for drawing up the pact。〃
Granet gripped the sides of his chair with his hand。 It seemed to him impossible that with these few commonplace words the fate of all Europe was being pronounced。
〃Do you mean that Germany will be crushed？〃 he demanded。
Sir Alfred shook his head。
〃I still believe that impossible；〃 he said； 〃but the peace of exhaustion will come； and come surely； before many months have passed。 It is time for us to think of ourselves。 So far as I am concerned； well； there is that one censored letternothing in itself； yet damning if the code should be discovered。 As for you； well； you are safe from anything transpiring in France； and although you seem to have been rather unlucky there； you appear to be safe as regards Norfolk。 You must make up your mind now to follow my lead。 Take a home command； do the rest of your soldiering quietly； and shout with the others when the day of peace comes。 These last few months must be our great secret。 At heart we may have longed to call ourselves sons of a mightier nation； but fate is against us。 We must continue Englishmen。〃
〃You've taken my breath away；〃 Granet declared。 〃Let me realise this for a moment。〃
He sat quite still。 A rush of thoughts had crowded into his brain。 First and foremost was the thought of Geraldine。 If he could cover up his traces！ If it were true that he was set free now from his pledges！ Then he remembered his visitor of the evening and his heart sank。
〃Look here；〃 he confessed； 〃in a way this is a huge relief。 I； like you； thought it was to last for three months and I thought I could stick it。 While the excitement of the thing was about it was easy enough； but listen； uncle。 That Norfolk affairI am not really out of that。〃
〃What do you mean？〃 Sir Alfred demanded anxiously。 〃This fellow Thomson？〃
〃Thomson； of course；〃 Granet assented； 〃but the real trouble has come to me in a different way。 I told you that the girl got me out of it。 She couldn't stand the second cross…examination。 She was driven into a corner； and finally； to clear herself； said that we were engaged to be married。 She has come up to London； came to me to…night。 She expects me to marry her。〃
〃How much does she know？〃 Sir Alfred asked。
〃Everything；〃 Granet groaned。 〃It was she who had told me of the waterway across the marshes。 She saw me there with Collins； just before the flare was lit。 She knew that I lied to them when they found me。〃
Sir Alfred sighed。
〃It's a big price； Ronnie；〃 he said； 〃but you'll have to pay it。 The sooner you marry the girl and close her mouth； the better。〃
〃If it hadn't been for that d